老秋说 - 华人论坛丫丫的港湾小说股坛海外华人 yayabay.com 全球华人

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发表于 2011-8-22 22:52 | 显示全部帖子

偶其實希望它殺
殺了
偶才有機會再大買

若不殺
這麼上去
反而不好做

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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发表于 2011-8-22 22:53 | 显示全部帖子

不管殺不殺
本週應該會落底成功

偶是算它星期二

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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发表于 2011-8-23 00:43 | 显示全部帖子

你说,就这么上去做个W底，有可能吗？
俺觉得如有个啥消息什么的，翻上去很有可能啊。
一天500+，60 ...
棋王发表于 2011-8-22 22:57

Of couse it is possible. Please see the grey line wave:
http://www.yayabay.com/forum/red ... 407&pid=3805034

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发表于 2011-8-23 00:54 | 显示全部帖子

But 168's "金总" is more bearish
http://www.trader1688.com/bb/viewtopic.php?p=1231674#p1231674

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

Rank: 8 Rank: 8

5^#

发表于 2011-8-23 00:56 | 显示全部帖子

大盘基本同意：如果能这么走一下（把你的细红线改成粗红线）是不是会更好些 -- 有可能吗 - 从浪上？

Then I replied back ...

I have considered that scenario. That would be the wave-C.5 has the same size as wave-C.3. Since there are infinitely many possible ways of wave counts, I cannot draw all of them on the chart. The chart would become a spiderweb if I do so. The reasons that I tentatively rule out that scenario:

1. The wave-C.3 has already demonstrated wave extension, wave-C.5 is less likely to repeat that again, except in some extreme case.
2. 1050-60 area has a multi-year channel line.

From my past posts, you might know that I am extremely bearish on SP. My long term target is around 900-850 area. If it does happen so quick, then I am glad to see that. For now, my view is 長線大空頭, 中期反彈將至.

Not a bull, not a bear, I am just a wolf ... 偶還是習慣稱行情漲為紅盤跌為慘綠

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6^#

发表于 2011-8-23 12:47 | 显示全部帖子

不管殺不殺
本週應該會落底成功

偶是算它星期二
snowrider 发表于 2011-8-22 22:53

看樣子就是今天已反轉
金子也是